Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Carter 58.5% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 71.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.1%
Neutral zone
Helm 57.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Helm
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Helm
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Helm
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
59.7% (727)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
53.2% (139)
+0.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Helm is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Helm shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Helm
Carter
Home
35.1% (37)
58.7% (455)
Away
48.6% (37)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Helm
Carter
P1
17.6%
61.3%
P2
40.0%
57.1%
P3
59.3%
59.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |