Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 71.1%
Defensive zone
Helm 77.8%
Neutral zone
Helm 72.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Helm
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Helm
Carter
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Helm
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Helm
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
57.3% (1,554)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
46.3% (1,087)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Helm shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Helm
Carter
Home
51.8% (1,800)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Helm
Carter
P1
49.5%
53.6%
P2
52.8%
52.8%
P3
49.7%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |