Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 74.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 80.3%
Neutral zone
Helm 55.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Helm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Helm
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Helm
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
52.5% (570)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
44.4% (36)
-3.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Helm is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Helm shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Helm
Pavelski
Home
45.7% (105)
55.0% (391)
Away
43.0% (128)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Helm
Pavelski
P1
42.1%
50.8%
P2
41.0%
55.0%
P3
50.6%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |