Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 68.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 70.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Helm
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
52.3% (560)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
62.5% (16)
-8.7%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Helm is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Helm shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Helm
Pavelski
Home
35.1% (37)
54.2% (360)
Away
48.6% (37)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Helm
Pavelski
P1
17.6%
54.5%
P2
40.0%
56.7%
P3
59.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%