Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Helm wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 63.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 90.1%
Neutral zone
Helm 77.9%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Helm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Helm
Draisaitl
Last 6: Helm 1-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Helm
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Helm
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
52.6% (1,124)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
49.2% (193)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Helm shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Helm
Draisaitl
Home
45.7% (105)
55.5% (816)
Away
43.0% (128)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Helm
Draisaitl
P1
42.1%
51.1%
P2
41.0%
51.6%
P3
50.6%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | OT | 02:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Darren Helm |