Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 68.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 89.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 90.6%
9.4%
90.6%
Helm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Helm
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
52.4% (974)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
61.0% (123)
-7.2%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Helm
Draisaitl
Home
35.1% (37)
54.5% (778)
Away
48.6% (37)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Helm
Draisaitl
P1
17.6%
54.6%
P2
40.0%
56.1%
P3
59.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |