Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 87.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Helm
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Helm
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
51.5% (983)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
45.3% (159)
-4.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Helm shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Helm
Backlund
Home
45.7% (105)
51.6% (653)
Away
43.0% (128)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Helm
Backlund
P1
42.1%
50.0%
P2
41.0%
49.8%
P3
50.6%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Darren Helm |