Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Backlund 50.8% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 60.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Helm
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
51.9% (1,083)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
44.3% (183)
+9.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Helm
Backlund
Home
35.1% (37)
51.9% (673)
Away
48.6% (37)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Helm
Backlund
P1
17.6%
51.4%
P2
40.0%
50.5%
P3
59.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%