Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 75.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Helm
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Helm
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
55.0% (713)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
47.2% (53)
+6.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Helm is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Helm shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Helm
Seguin
Home
35.1% (37)
56.2% (443)
Away
48.6% (37)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Helm
Seguin
P1
17.6%
54.2%
P2
40.0%
52.9%
P3
59.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |