Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 64.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 78.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Helm
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Helm
Seguin
Last 10: Helm 9-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
7
1
Helm
Seguin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
0
Helm
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
55.9% (810)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
49.3% (762)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Helm shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Helm
Seguin
Home
51.8% (1,800)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Helm
Seguin
P1
49.5%
52.8%
P2
52.8%
53.3%
P3
49.7%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Darren Helm |