David Gustafsson vs Jeff Carter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 51.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 55.7%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 75.8%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 59.6%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Gustafsson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gustafsson
Carter
Last 6: Gustafsson 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gustafsson
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Gustafsson
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (623)
53.3% (8,728)
-0.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.3% (1,554)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
46.3% (1,087)
-9.5%
On power play, Carter has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gustafsson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gustafsson shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Carter
Home
52.1% (363)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
50.3% (326)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Gustafsson
Carter
P1
57.7%
53.6%
P2
45.8%
52.8%
P3
50.2%
53.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
51.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |