Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Gustafsson wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs Carter 60.1% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.6%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Gustafsson
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
65.6% (262)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
50.5% (99)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gustafsson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gustafsson shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Carter
Home
51.5% (103)
64.3% (207)
Away
58.2% (91)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Gustafsson
Carter
P1
60.0%
65.3%
P2
58.9%
60.1%
P3
47.4%
63.8%
Final 5 min
57.9%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%