Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Gustafsson wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs Carter 58.5% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.5%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 60.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Gustafsson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gustafsson
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Gustafsson
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
59.7% (727)
-8.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
68.1% (72)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
53.2% (139)
-19.9%
On power play, Carter has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gustafsson is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Gustafsson shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Carter
Home
54.2% (96)
58.7% (455)
Away
45.1% (113)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Gustafsson
Carter
P1
58.5%
61.3%
P2
39.5%
57.1%
P3
51.5%
59.8%
Final 5 min
58.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |