David Gustafsson vs Kevin Stenlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gustafsson wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 58.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 62.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 67.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Gustafsson
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Gustafsson
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
54.4% (592)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
44.1% (229)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gustafsson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gustafsson shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Home
51.5% (103)
50.7% (402)
Away
58.2% (91)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Gustafsson
Stenlund
P1
60.0%
56.5%
P2
58.9%
52.4%
P3
47.4%
45.2%
Final 5 min
57.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |