David Gustafsson vs Kevin Stenlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 50.0% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 61.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 57.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 63.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Last 7: Gustafsson 4-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
3
Gustafsson
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
1
0
Gustafsson
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (180)
58.6% (797)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
60.5% (233)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Gustafsson shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Stenlund
Home
52.9% (104)
58.6% (548)
Away
46.8% (94)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Gustafsson
Stenlund
P1
57.1%
60.2%
P2
41.3%
59.1%
P3
51.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |