Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Gustafsson wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 66.6%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 65.5%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Gustafsson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Gustafsson
Seguin
Last 5: Gustafsson 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Gustafsson
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Gustafsson
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Gustafsson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
55.0% (713)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
56.7% (104)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
47.2% (53)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Gustafsson is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Gustafsson shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Seguin
Home
54.2% (96)
56.2% (443)
Away
45.1% (113)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Gustafsson
Seguin
P1
58.5%
54.2%
P2
39.5%
52.9%
P3
51.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |