Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Gustafsson wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.9%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 67.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.8%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Gustafsson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gustafsson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Gustafsson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
56.9% (478)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
51.3% (76)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Gustafsson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gustafsson shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Seguin
Home
51.5% (103)
57.4% (317)
Away
58.2% (91)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Gustafsson
Seguin
P1
60.0%
50.3%
P2
58.9%
60.4%
P3
47.4%
58.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |