Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.6% vs Stepan 54.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kampf 88.7%
Neutral zone
Kampf 64.9%
Result
David Kampf favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kampf
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kampf
Stepan
Last 7: Kampf 2-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
4
Kampf
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kampf
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (856)
54.5% (374)
+0.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
0.0% (2)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (301)
64.7% (68)
-17.2%
On power play, Kampf has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Kampf is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Kampf shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Kampf
Stepan
Home
52.9% (567)
54.5% (222)
Away
52.8% (598)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Kampf
Stepan
P1
51.5%
57.5%
P2
52.5%
54.7%
P3
54.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |