Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.4% vs Stepan 53.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kampf 88.3%
Neutral zone
Kampf 57.8%
Result
David Kampf favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kampf
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kampf
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Kampf
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Kampf
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kampf
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (780)
55.3% (358)
+1.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
0.0% (3)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (358)
50.8% (61)
-9.7%
On power play, Kampf has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Kampf is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Kampf shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Kampf
Stepan
Home
51.2% (576)
57.7% (213)
Away
51.8% (571)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Kampf
Stepan
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
55.0%
48.9%
P3
50.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |