Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.4% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 86.1%
Defensive zone
Kampf 91.3%
Neutral zone
Kampf 52.8%
Result
David Kampf favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kampf
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kampf
Pavelski
Last 6: Kampf 3-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kampf
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Kampf
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (780)
52.3% (560)
+4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.5% (113)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (358)
62.5% (16)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kampf is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Kampf shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Kampf
Pavelski
Home
51.2% (576)
54.2% (360)
Away
51.8% (571)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Kampf
Pavelski
P1
50.3%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
56.7%
P3
50.2%
50.8%
OT
26.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | David Kampf |