Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 50.8% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kampf 79.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Kampf
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kampf
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Kampf
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (610)
51.5% (594)
+2.3%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
51.7% (87)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (299)
28.6% (14)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kampf is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Kampf shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Kampf
Pavelski
Home
47.5% (400)
53.1% (339)
Away
53.4% (522)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Kampf
Pavelski
P1
57.3%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
47.8%
P3
49.3%
50.2%
OT
29.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | David Kampf |