Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.5% vs Duchene 52.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kampf 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kampf 61.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Kampf
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kampf
Duchene
Last 6: Kampf 1-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Kampf
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kampf
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (581)
55.6% (248)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
45.3% (53)
+10.3%
On power play, Kampf has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kampf is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Kampf shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Kampf
Duchene
Home
54.1% (386)
54.7% (150)
Away
51.4% (391)
53.0% (151)
By Period
Kampf
Duchene
P1
55.3%
51.1%
P2
46.8%
57.8%
P3
56.3%
52.4%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |