Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kampf 87.1%
Neutral zone
Kampf 59.6%
Result
David Kampf favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Kampf
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
27
(47 meetings)
20
27
Kampf
Duchene
Last 10: Kampf 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
14
Kampf
Duchene
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
12
5
Kampf
Duchene
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
8
Kampf
Duchene
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (5,262)
53.9% (10,396)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.3% (75)
56.9% (1,665)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (1,512)
49.1% (468)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kampf is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (4,504).
Kampf shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Kampf
Duchene
Home
51.6% (3,313)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
51.4% (3,536)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Kampf
Duchene
P1
52.1%
54.5%
P2
51.3%
54.5%
P3
51.3%
53.4%
OT
46.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | David Kampf |