Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.2%
Defensive zone
Kampf 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kampf 51.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Kampf
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kampf
Duchene
Last 9: Kampf 4-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Kampf
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kampf
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
53.0% (723)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.5% (101)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
43.8% (16)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Kampf shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Kampf
Duchene
Home
49.8% (269)
54.9% (408)
Away
52.6% (274)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Kampf
Duchene
P1
50.5%
52.5%
P2
53.8%
51.7%
P3
48.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | David Kampf |