Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Kampf 60.6%
Defensive zone
Kampf 92.6%
Neutral zone
Kampf 78.6%
Result
David Kampf favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Kampf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
23
(36 meetings)
13
23
Kampf
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kampf 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
14
Kampf
O'Reilly
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
6
3
Kampf
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Kampf
O'Reilly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (5,262)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.3% (75)
58.8% (3,445)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (1,512)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kampf is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (4,504).
Kampf shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Kampf
O'Reilly
Home
51.6% (3,313)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
51.4% (3,536)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kampf
O'Reilly
P1
52.1%
55.6%
P2
51.3%
57.0%
P3
51.3%
55.1%
OT
46.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |