Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.4% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kampf 84.0%
Neutral zone
Kampf 62.0%
Result
David Kampf favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kampf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kampf
O'Reilly
Last 5: Kampf 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kampf
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kampf
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (780)
56.1% (690)
+0.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
64.6% (96)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (358)
45.9% (109)
-4.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kampf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Kampf shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Kampf
O'Reilly
Home
51.2% (576)
58.3% (408)
Away
51.8% (571)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Kampf
O'Reilly
P1
50.3%
57.7%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
50.2%
55.2%
OT
26.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | David Kampf |