Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kampf 86.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.7%
Result
David Kampf favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kampf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kampf
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kampf
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
56.2% (983)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
55.5% (254)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
52.0% (102)
-4.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Kampf shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Kampf
O'Reilly
Home
49.8% (269)
56.2% (697)
Away
52.6% (274)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Kampf
O'Reilly
P1
50.5%
54.5%
P2
53.8%
55.5%
P3
48.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |