Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.5% vs Larkin 54.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 79.4%
Defensive zone
Krejci 83.7%
Neutral zone
Krejci 80.5%
Result
David Krejci favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Krejci
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Krejci
Larkin
Last 10: Krejci 0-10 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Krejci
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
8
Krejci
Larkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
4
Krejci
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (999)
52.9% (1,228)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
63.1% (214)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
55.2% (145)
-6.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Krejci is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Krejci shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Krejci
Larkin
Home
50.4% (570)
55.8% (805)
Away
46.3% (525)
53.2% (782)
By Period
Krejci
Larkin
P1
48.2%
55.2%
P2
48.2%
53.3%
P3
48.5%
55.1%
OT
57.1%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | David Krejci |