Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Larkin 54.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Krejci
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Krejci
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Krejci
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
53.6% (886)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
59.3% (317)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
48.7% (152)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Krejci
Larkin
Home
52.0% (381)
56.6% (700)
Away
42.6% (359)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Krejci
Larkin
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
43.7%
54.7%
P3
51.9%
52.7%
OT
40.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |