Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 35-19 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 72.4%
Defensive zone
Krejci 64.9%
Neutral zone
Krejci 66.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Krejci
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
35
(54 meetings)
19
35
Krejci
Larkin
Last 10: Krejci 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
9
7
Krejci
Larkin
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
17
Krejci
Larkin
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
11
Krejci
Larkin
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
51.7% (9,019)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
58.5% (2,125)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
50.2% (1,122)
-1.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Krejci
Larkin
Home
53.1% (5,660)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Krejci
Larkin
P1
50.7%
52.7%
P2
51.8%
53.1%
P3
50.2%
52.1%
OT
53.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |