Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Carter 58.5% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 62.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 86.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Krejci
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Krejci
Carter
Last 7: Krejci 4-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Krejci
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
59.7% (727)
-12.5%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
68.1% (72)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
53.2% (139)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Krejci is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Krejci shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Krejci
Carter
Home
52.0% (381)
58.7% (455)
Away
42.6% (359)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Krejci
Carter
P1
47.2%
61.3%
P2
43.7%
57.1%
P3
51.9%
59.8%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |