Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 36-32 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 52.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Krejci
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
32
(68 meetings)
36
32
Krejci
Carter
Last 10: Krejci 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
13
8
Krejci
Carter
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
10
12
Krejci
Carter
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
13
12
Krejci
Carter
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
57.3% (1,554)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
46.3% (1,087)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Krejci
Carter
Home
53.1% (5,660)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Krejci
Carter
P1
50.7%
53.6%
P2
51.8%
52.8%
P3
50.2%
53.1%
OT
53.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | David Krejci |