Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.3%
Defensive zone
Krejci 62.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.6%
Result
David Krejci favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Krejci
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Krejci
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
53.9% (193)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
49.2% (65)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
100.0% (1)
-64.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Krejci
Duchene
Home
52.0% (381)
54.9% (113)
Away
42.6% (359)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Krejci
Duchene
P1
47.2%
54.9%
P2
43.7%
52.7%
P3
51.9%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | David Krejci |