Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 37-35 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 51.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Krejci
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
37
(72 meetings)
35
37
Krejci
Duchene
Last 10: Krejci 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
19
15
Krejci
Duchene
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
13
Krejci
Duchene
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
9
Krejci
Duchene
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
49.1% (468)
-0.3%
On even strength, Duchene has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Krejci
Duchene
Home
53.1% (5,660)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Krejci
Duchene
P1
50.7%
54.5%
P2
51.8%
54.5%
P3
50.2%
53.4%
OT
53.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |