Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Frost 46.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 51.1%
Defensive zone
Krejci 52.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Krejci
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Krejci
Frost
Last 7: Krejci 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Krejci
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
45.6% (833)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
46.0% (100)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
55.6% (18)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Krejci
Frost
Home
52.0% (381)
47.0% (440)
Away
42.6% (359)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Krejci
Frost
P1
47.2%
42.5%
P2
43.7%
47.9%
P3
51.9%
46.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |