Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.3%). Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Frost 50.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 51.9%
Defensive zone
Krejci 60.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Krejci
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Krejci
Frost
Last 7: Krejci 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Krejci
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
49.4% (3,598)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
55.5% (625)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
52.8% (36)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Krejci
Frost
Home
53.1% (5,660)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Krejci
Frost
P1
50.7%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
51.1%
P3
50.2%
48.5%
OT
53.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |