Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Paul 50.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 65.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Krejci
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Krejci
Paul
Last 5: Krejci 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
50.8% (59)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On power play, Paul has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Krejci is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Krejci shoots right. Paul is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Krejci
Paul
Home
51.7% (571)
53.5% (43)
Away
48.5% (546)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Krejci
Paul
P1
52.9%
47.4%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
23.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | David Krejci |