Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Paul 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 69.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Krejci
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Krejci
Paul
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
2
Krejci
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Krejci
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Krejci
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
53.8% (753)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
58.9% (90)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
47.4% (78)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Krejci
Paul
Home
52.0% (381)
54.2% (450)
Away
42.6% (359)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Krejci
Paul
P1
47.2%
58.2%
P2
43.7%
50.6%
P3
51.9%
52.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |