Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Paul 52.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 62.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 60.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Krejci
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Krejci
Paul
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
6
2
Krejci
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Krejci
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
6
5
Krejci
Paul
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
52.5% (3,796)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
56.5% (480)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
46.7% (574)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Krejci
Paul
Home
53.1% (5,660)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Krejci
Paul
P1
50.7%
53.9%
P2
51.8%
51.0%
P3
50.2%
52.0%
OT
53.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |