Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 51.2%). Look for Krejci on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.3% vs Paul 51.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 61.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 64.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Krejci
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Krejci
Paul
Last 5: Krejci 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Krejci
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (645)
53.5% (312)
-4.7%
Power Play
66.2% (68)
53.8% (26)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
29.4% (34)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Krejci is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Krejci shoots right. Paul is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Krejci
Paul
Home
51.9% (374)
45.8% (153)
Away
48.8% (363)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Krejci
Paul
P1
52.2%
55.9%
P2
51.4%
48.9%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |