Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.2%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs McLeod 48.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 71.7%
Defensive zone
Krejci 51.3%
Neutral zone
Krejci 53.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Krejci
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Krejci
McLeod
Last 6: Krejci 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Krejci
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Krejci
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Krejci
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
49.0% (500)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
43.8% (48)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
44.0% (50)
-8.7%
On power play, Krejci has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Krejci
McLeod
Home
52.0% (381)
50.9% (291)
Away
42.6% (359)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Krejci
McLeod
P1
47.2%
44.3%
P2
43.7%
52.4%
P3
51.9%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |