Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs McLeod 49.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 66.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 75.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Krejci
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Krejci
McLeod
Last 6: Krejci 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Krejci
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Krejci
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Krejci
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
50.4% (3,345)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
51.0% (292)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
44.3% (635)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Krejci
McLeod
Home
53.1% (5,660)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Krejci
McLeod
P1
50.7%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
48.4%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
53.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |