Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Perron wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 49.3% vs Malkin 48.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.4%
Defensive zone
Perron 50.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Perron
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Perron
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Perron
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Perron
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (26)
47.9% (776)
+9.8%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
66.7% (24)
-54.2%
On power play, Malkin has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Perron is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Perron shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Perron
Malkin
Home
63.6% (22)
49.6% (405)
Away
16.7% (12)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Perron
Malkin
P1
41.7%
49.6%
P2
45.5%
47.2%
P3
54.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
47.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |