Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Perron wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Malkin 45.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 85.9%
Defensive zone
Perron 77.4%
Neutral zone
Perron 78.3%
Result
David Perron favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Perron
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Perron
Malkin
Last 8: Perron 1-7 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
1
0
Perron
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
4
Perron
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Perron
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
45.6% (10,081)
-8.3%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
50.1% (668)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
32.2% (59)
+1.1%
On even strength, Malkin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Perron shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Perron
Malkin
Home
42.4% (271)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
34.7% (251)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Perron
Malkin
P1
42.2%
45.9%
P2
34.1%
46.2%
P3
39.8%
45.2%
OT
38.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |