Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Mercer 45.3% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Horvat
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Mercer
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Horvat
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Mercer
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
43.2% (148)
+11.5%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
40.0% (10)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
28.6% (7)
+23.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Horvat
Mercer
Home
59.8% (853)
39.0% (82)
Away
53.8% (832)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Horvat
Mercer
P1
55.0%
45.5%
P2
58.3%
44.0%
P3
57.8%
36.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |