Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Mercer 46.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 56.8%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 69.0%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 54.1%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Sillinger
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Mercer
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
43.6% (241)
+3.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
50.0% (14)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
70.0% (10)
-33.6%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Sillinger is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Sillinger shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Mercer
Home
45.9% (488)
41.7% (120)
Away
46.7% (484)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Sillinger
Mercer
P1
45.0%
44.6%
P2
44.5%
45.4%
P3
49.5%
45.2%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |