Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Carter 58.5% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 88.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 74.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Mercer
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Mercer
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
59.7% (727)
-16.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
68.1% (72)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
53.2% (139)
-24.6%
On power play, Carter has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Mercer
Carter
Home
39.0% (82)
58.7% (455)
Away
45.8% (83)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Mercer
Carter
P1
45.5%
61.3%
P2
44.0%
57.1%
P3
36.7%
59.8%
Final 5 min
36.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |