Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Carter 60.1% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Mercer
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
65.6% (262)
-22.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
68.3% (63)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
50.5% (99)
+19.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Mercer
Carter
Home
41.7% (120)
64.3% (207)
Away
47.6% (145)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Mercer
Carter
P1
44.6%
65.3%
P2
45.4%
60.1%
P3
45.2%
63.8%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%