Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Danault 54.8% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 65.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 75.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Mercer
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Mercer
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
56.5% (711)
-17.7%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
46.0% (50)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
51.7% (116)
-1.7%
On even strength, Danault has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Mercer
Danault
Home
34.7% (144)
57.0% (379)
Away
43.2% (146)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Mercer
Danault
P1
32.7%
55.8%
P2
42.7%
55.3%
P3
42.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
39.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |