Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Danault 52.1% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 61.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 84.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 71.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Mercer
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
52.4% (958)
-11.4%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
62.0% (71)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
47.6% (187)
-11.2%
On power play, Danault has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Mercer
Danault
Home
45.2% (126)
51.2% (605)
Away
35.1% (111)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Mercer
Danault
P1
34.5%
53.1%
P2
43.4%
49.8%
P3
45.8%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |